2019 Fall report
Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, The University of Tokyo
- The Arctic sea ice area will advance at slower speed than the last year especially in the Canadian side.
- The sea routes of Russian side will close around October 13, and the Canadian side except for Canadian archipelago will close around October 26.
Arctic sea ice area reached its minimum on September 17 and started advancing. In the Beaufort, Chukchi and East Siberian Seas, the advance speed will be slower than the last year. On the other hand around the Severnaya Zemlya, the ice area will advance at a faster speed compared with the last year.
Sea routes of Russian side will close around October 13. The route of Canadian side except for Canadian archipelago will close around October 26, which is one month later than the last year.
This prediction is basing on the relation between the speeds of summer ice retreat and fall ice advance (see 2017 Fall Report.)
If you have any questions about satellite monitoring of the Arctic Ocean, sea ice forecasting, or the forecasting methods used here, please contact the Sea Ice Information Center（sea_ice@nipr.ac.jp)
The research for this forecast method was started in GRENE Project. The sea ice forecast was conducted in ArCS Project (FY2015-2019).